Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 45.3% vs Danault 54.0% (-12.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danault 57.6%
Defensive zone
Danault 85.1%
Neutral zone
Danault 73.5%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 85.1%
14.9%
85.1%
Mercer
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Mercer
Danault
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mercer
1
0
Mercer
Danault
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (148)
55.1% (953)
-11.9%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
64.6% (144)
-24.6%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
42.0% (176)
-13.4%
On power play, Danault has a +24.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Mercer is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (122).
Mercer shoots right. Danault is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (442).
Home / Away
Mercer
Danault
Home
39.0% (82)
55.4% (641)
Away
45.8% (83)
53.3% (632)
By Period
Mercer
Danault
P1
45.5%
61.0%
P2
44.0%
52.3%
P3
36.7%
51.3%
Final 5 min
36.6%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
42.4%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 17:22 | Defensive | Dawson Mercer |