Scouting Report
Tommy Novak holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malgin 49.1% vs Novak 45.6% (-4.5%)
Offensive zone
Novak 51.8%
Defensive zone
Novak 69.1%
Neutral zone
Novak 58.8%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 59.9%
40.1%
59.9%
Malgin
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malgin
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
40.0% (10)
43.8% (384)
-3.8%
On even strength, Novak has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Malgin is 37.5% vs left-shot opponents (8).
Malgin shoots right. Novak is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (149).
Home / Away
Malgin
Novak
Home
33.3% (6)
46.5% (202)
Away
50.0% (4)
42.5% (200)
By Period
Malgin
Novak
P1
33.3%
49.2%
P2
0.0%
44.2%
P3
100.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
33.3%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malgin
44.0%▲
40.5%
40.0%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
44.5%