Scouting Report
Tommy Novak holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Malgin wins 39.0% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malgin 40.8% vs Novak 43.3% (-3.7%)
Offensive zone
Novak 54.1%
Defensive zone
Malgin 53.3%
Neutral zone
Malgin 50.2%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Malgin
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malgin
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
38.9% (535)
42.1% (1,539)
-3.2%
Power Play
42.9% (28)
51.9% (133)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
50.0% (2)
+0.0%
On power play, Novak has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Malgin is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (410).
Malgin shoots right. Novak is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Malgin
Novak
Home
37.4% (273)
45.3% (814)
Away
40.9% (298)
40.6% (860)
By Period
Malgin
Novak
P1
37.2%
43.9%
P2
39.0%
42.8%
P3
40.7%
41.7%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
43.0%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malgin
44.0%▲
40.5%
39.2%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.9%