Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Grant shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 54.5% vs Grant 51.4% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 94.3%
Defensive zone
Grant 64.3%
Neutral zone
Matthews 75.4%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 75.0%
75.0%
25.0%
Matthews
Grant
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Matthews
Grant
Last 5: Matthews 4-1 Grant
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
0
Matthews
Grant
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Grant
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Matthews
Grant
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Grant
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (856)
51.7% (480)
+3.4%
Power Play
54.3% (46)
63.0% (54)
-8.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (18)
47.5% (160)
+2.5%
On power play, Grant has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grant shoots left. Matthews is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (578).
Matthews shoots left. Grant is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (428).
Home / Away
Matthews
Grant
Home
57.0% (440)
54.8% (334)
Away
53.1% (480)
48.6% (360)
By Period
Matthews
Grant
P1
54.0%
54.7%
P2
55.1%
46.1%
P3
56.4%
54.2%
OT
42.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.7%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
55.0%
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2020 | 3 | 12:47 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 7, 2020 | 3 | 08:34 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Feb 7, 2020 | 2 | 12:33 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 7, 2020 | 1 | 11:47 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 7, 2020 | 1 | 04:45 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |