Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Lizotte on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.4% vs Grant 52.2% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Lizotte leads 12-8 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Grant 50.4%
Defensive zone
Grant 73.5%
Neutral zone
Grant 58.1%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 60.0%
40.0%
60.0%
Lizotte
Grant
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
8
(20 meetings)
12
8
Lizotte
Grant
Last 10: Lizotte 7-3 Grant
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
5
2
Lizotte
Grant
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
4
2
Lizotte
Grant
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
3
4
Lizotte
Grant
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Grant
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (3,068)
53.7% (2,864)
-2.1%
Power Play
48.1% (81)
61.7% (175)
-13.6%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (437)
46.0% (922)
-3.7%
On power play, Grant has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grant shoots left. Lizotte is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,373).
Lizotte shoots left. Grant is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,612).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Grant
Home
49.5% (1,840)
54.3% (1,956)
Away
51.4% (1,746)
50.2% (2,005)
By Period
Lizotte
Grant
P1
48.0%
51.1%
P2
52.3%
51.5%
P3
50.5%
54.3%
OT
75.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
50.2%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.4%
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2023 | 3 | 02:28 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 17, 2023 | 1 | 19:51 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 17, 2023 | 1 | 07:13 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 1 | 05:10 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 1 | 09:43 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 1 | 11:45 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 1 | 11:41 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 2 | 02:51 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 1 | 01:34 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 3 | 08:41 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 3 | 01:53 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 2 | 18:15 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 1 | 12:10 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 3 | 11:12 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 3 | 15:06 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 2 | 04:27 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 2, 2019 | 3 | 06:53 | Defensive | Derek Grant |