Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Dvorak wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Grant shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 53.7% vs Grant 52.2% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 65.7%
Defensive zone
Grant 68.5%
Neutral zone
Grant 52.9%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Dvorak
Grant
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Dvorak
Grant
Last 6: Dvorak 3-3 Grant
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
3
0
Dvorak
Grant
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
0
3
Dvorak
Grant
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Grant
Edge
Even Strength
56.7% (203)
54.7% (397)
+2.0%
Power Play
50.0% (20)
62.5% (8)
-12.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
44.5% (110)
-44.5%
On penalty kill, Grant has a +44.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grant shoots left. Dvorak is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (163).
Dvorak shoots left. Grant is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (358).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Grant
Home
56.5% (138)
53.6% (222)
Away
53.4% (88)
51.9% (293)
By Period
Dvorak
Grant
P1
56.5%
48.5%
P2
57.6%
54.3%
P3
52.1%
55.0%
Final 5 min
55.8%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
55.3%
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2019 | 3 | 05:37 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 2 | 16:04 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 2 | 15:57 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 2 | 12:01 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 2 | 05:37 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 2 | 02:34 | Defensive | Derek Grant |