Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.6% vs 52.3%). Look for Ryan on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Grant wins 55.6% vs right-shot opponents — Ryan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 51.4% vs Ryan 52.0% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 58.6%
Defensive zone
Grant 78.9%
Neutral zone
Ryan 51.7%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 60.6%
60.6%
39.4%
Grant
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Grant
Ryan
Last 5: Grant 1-4 Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
0
2
Grant
Ryan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
2
Grant
Ryan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (480)
54.1% (603)
-2.4%
Power Play
63.0% (54)
40.9% (44)
+22.1%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (160)
45.9% (85)
+1.6%
On power play, Grant has a +22.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Grant is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (266).
Grant shoots left. Ryan is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (511).
Home / Away
Grant
Ryan
Home
54.8% (334)
52.5% (341)
Away
48.6% (360)
52.2% (391)
By Period
Grant
Ryan
P1
54.7%
56.0%
P2
46.1%
48.1%
P3
54.2%
52.8%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.9%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
51.6%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2020 | 2 | 19:16 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 2 | 16:46 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 1 | 08:49 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 20, 2019 | 3 | 09:03 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 20, 2019 | 3 | 08:57 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |