Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Grant wins 58.9% vs right-shot opponents — Ryan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 54.3% vs Ryan 50.0% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 68.3%
Defensive zone
Ryan 64.0%
Neutral zone
Ryan 62.6%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 64.7%
35.3%
64.7%
Grant
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Grant
Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
0
1
Grant
Ryan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Grant
Ryan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
0
1
Grant
Ryan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (308)
50.9% (344)
+5.6%
Power Play
65.3% (49)
75.0% (4)
-9.7%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (136)
45.3% (86)
+3.2%
On power play, Ryan has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Grant is 58.9% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Grant shoots left. Ryan is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (336).
Home / Away
Grant
Ryan
Home
60.3% (257)
53.7% (214)
Away
49.6% (236)
46.4% (220)
By Period
Grant
Ryan
P1
54.7%
45.0%
P2
54.0%
50.0%
P3
57.1%
54.6%
Final 5 min
51.9%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
55.2%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 13:41 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 05:19 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 12:47 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 05:46 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |