Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on neutral-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Grant wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Ryan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 52.2% vs Ryan 55.2% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Ryan leads 13-6 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Grant 60.7%
Defensive zone
Grant 85.7%
Neutral zone
Grant 68.7%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 71.1%
71.1%
28.9%
Grant
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
13
(19 meetings)
6
13
Grant
Ryan
Last 10: Grant 2-8 Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
3
Grant
Ryan
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
3
Grant
Ryan
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
7
Grant
Ryan
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (2,864)
56.6% (4,102)
-2.9%
Power Play
61.7% (175)
53.2% (342)
+8.5%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (922)
47.8% (649)
-1.8%
On power play, Grant has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Grant is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,349).
Grant shoots left. Ryan is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,676).
Home / Away
Grant
Ryan
Home
54.3% (1,956)
56.2% (2,559)
Away
50.2% (2,005)
54.4% (2,534)
By Period
Grant
Ryan
P1
51.1%
55.1%
P2
51.5%
54.7%
P3
54.3%
56.0%
OT
35.7%
58.3%
Final 5 min
54.0%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 13:41 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 05:19 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 12:47 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 05:46 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 2 | 19:16 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 2 | 16:46 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 1 | 08:49 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 20, 2019 | 3 | 09:03 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 20, 2019 | 3 | 08:57 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 3, 2019 | 2 | 06:12 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 3 | 19:14 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 22, 2019 | 2 | 18:00 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 22, 2019 | 2 | 02:43 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 22, 2019 | 1 | 05:38 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Dec 11, 2017 | 1 | 10:27 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 29, 2017 | 2 | 09:33 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 29, 2017 | 1 | 10:42 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 2 | 02:17 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |