Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Grant on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Grant wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Stepan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 52.2% vs Stepan 46.6% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Grant leads 15-11 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 59.7%
Defensive zone
Grant 87.7%
Neutral zone
Grant 77.3%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 67.7%
67.7%
32.3%
Grant
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
11
(26 meetings)
15
11
Grant
Stepan
Last 10: Grant 5-5 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
8
Grant
Stepan
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
8
0
Grant
Stepan
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
6
3
Grant
Stepan
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (2,864)
46.5% (10,204)
+7.2%
Power Play
61.7% (175)
48.8% (1,593)
+12.9%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (922)
44.2% (1,368)
+1.8%
On power play, Grant has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Grant is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,349).
Grant shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Home / Away
Grant
Stepan
Home
54.3% (1,956)
47.6% (6,608)
Away
50.2% (2,005)
45.5% (6,573)
By Period
Grant
Stepan
P1
51.1%
47.5%
P2
51.5%
45.6%
P3
54.3%
46.8%
OT
35.7%
40.7%
Final 5 min
54.0%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 13:34 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 2 | 19:00 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 27, 2019 | OT | 04:16 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 3, 2019 | 3 | 19:00 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Oct 3, 2019 | 2 | 14:10 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 3, 2019 | 2 | 13:02 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 3, 2019 | 2 | 09:03 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 3, 2019 | 2 | 05:28 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 3, 2019 | 2 | 01:16 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 3, 2019 | 1 | 10:22 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 3, 2019 | 1 | 07:49 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 3 | 10:05 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 3 | 01:10 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 2 | 18:01 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 2 | 11:19 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 2 | 09:33 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 1 | 16:00 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 25, 2015 | 3 | 00:36 | Defensive | Derek Grant |