Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 48.8% vs Stepan 54.8% (-7.3%)
Offensive zone
Stepan 61.2%
Defensive zone
Grant 56.7%
Neutral zone
Grant 56.6%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Grant
Stepan
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (222)
54.5% (374)
-5.4%
Power Play
76.5% (17)
0.0% (2)
+76.5%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (181)
64.7% (68)
-19.4%
On power play, Grant has a +76.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Grant is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (145).
Grant shoots left. Stepan is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (324).
Home / Away
Grant
Stepan
Home
49.8% (223)
54.5% (222)
Away
47.2% (197)
57.2% (222)
By Period
Grant
Stepan
P1
43.9%
57.5%
P2
49.7%
54.7%
P3
51.4%
55.9%
Final 5 min
51.2%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
48.6%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
55.9%