Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.2% vs 54.3%). Grant wins 58.9% vs right-shot opponents — Stepan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 54.3% vs Stepan 53.4% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 76.8%
Defensive zone
Grant 63.6%
Neutral zone
Grant 54.6%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
Grant
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Grant
Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
1
0
Grant
Stepan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (308)
55.3% (358)
+1.2%
Power Play
65.3% (49)
0.0% (3)
+65.3%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (136)
50.8% (61)
-2.3%
On power play, Grant has a +65.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Grant is 58.9% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Grant shoots left. Stepan is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (314).
Home / Away
Grant
Stepan
Home
60.3% (257)
57.7% (213)
Away
49.6% (236)
50.7% (209)
By Period
Grant
Stepan
P1
54.7%
56.3%
P2
54.0%
48.9%
P3
57.1%
57.1%
Final 5 min
51.9%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
55.2%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 13:34 | Neutral | Derek Grant |