Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 51.1% vs Stepan 46.2% (+8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 62.1%
Defensive zone
Stepan 51.5%
Neutral zone
Stepan 56.4%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 56.7%
43.3%
56.7%
Grant
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Grant
Stepan
Last 6: Grant 3-3 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
0
2
Grant
Stepan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
2
0
Grant
Stepan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Grant
Stepan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (20)
48.0% (750)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
41.6% (113)
+12.9%
On penalty kill, Grant has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Grant is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (11).
Grant shoots left. Stepan is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (617).
Home / Away
Grant
Stepan
Home
61.5% (26)
47.4% (460)
Away
20.0% (5)
44.5% (517)
By Period
Grant
Stepan
P1
61.5%
50.3%
P2
45.5%
38.4%
P3
57.1%
49.4%
Final 5 min
33.3%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
54.8%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2013 | 3 | 09:49 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 21, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 21, 2013 | 2 | 19:54 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 21, 2013 | 1 | 11:45 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 21, 2013 | 1 | 06:48 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Feb 21, 2013 | 1 | 05:32 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |