Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Grant wins 54.1% vs right-shot opponents — Stepan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 51.9% vs Stepan 47.2% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 56.8%
Defensive zone
Grant 80.8%
Neutral zone
Grant 77.2%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 71.8%
71.8%
28.2%
Grant
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Grant
Stepan
Last 5: Grant 4-1 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
0
1
Grant
Stepan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
2
0
Grant
Stepan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
2
0
Grant
Stepan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (308)
48.2% (1,155)
+5.0%
Power Play
61.5% (13)
48.2% (193)
+13.3%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (63)
37.9% (174)
+8.1%
On power play, Grant has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Grant is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (133).
Grant shoots left. Stepan is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,064).
Home / Away
Grant
Stepan
Home
50.9% (161)
46.4% (774)
Away
53.4% (223)
47.7% (748)
By Period
Grant
Stepan
P1
53.4%
46.7%
P2
47.9%
46.3%
P3
56.0%
48.1%
OT
100.0%
47.6%
Final 5 min
54.7%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.3%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2017 | 3 | 01:10 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 2 | 18:01 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 2 | 11:19 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 2 | 09:33 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 1 | 16:00 | Defensive | Derek Grant |