Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 48.8% vs Vilardi 47.6% (+2.8%)
Offensive zone
Vilardi 76.0%
Defensive zone
Grant 71.3%
Neutral zone
Grant 53.2%
Result
Gabriel Vilardi favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Grant
Vilardi
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Vilardi
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (222)
46.5% (101)
+2.6%
Power Play
76.5% (17)
43.3% (30)
+33.2%
On power play, Grant has a +33.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Vilardi shoots right. Grant is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (145).
Grant shoots left. Vilardi is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (84).
Home / Away
Grant
Vilardi
Home
49.8% (223)
51.6% (64)
Away
47.2% (197)
40.3% (67)
By Period
Grant
Vilardi
P1
43.9%
48.9%
P2
49.7%
42.9%
P3
51.4%
45.2%
Final 5 min
51.2%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
48.6%
Vilardi
40.0%▼
43.5%
45.8%