Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Grant wins 58.9% vs right-shot opponents — Vilardi shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 54.3% vs Vilardi 47.9% (+9.2%)
Offensive zone
Vilardi 81.8%
Defensive zone
Grant 84.9%
Neutral zone
Grant 51.0%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Grant
Vilardi
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Vilardi
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (308)
44.4% (81)
+12.1%
Power Play
65.3% (49)
50.0% (32)
+15.3%
On power play, Grant has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Vilardi shoots right. Grant is 58.9% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Grant shoots left. Vilardi is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (72).
Home / Away
Grant
Vilardi
Home
60.3% (257)
44.8% (58)
Away
49.6% (236)
47.3% (55)
By Period
Grant
Vilardi
P1
54.7%
41.7%
P2
54.0%
55.6%
P3
57.1%
42.9%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
55.2%
Vilardi
40.0%▼
43.5%
46.0%