Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Grant wins 58.9% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 54.3% vs Evans 51.7% (+3.2%)
Offensive zone
Evans 63.7%
Defensive zone
Evans 56.1%
Neutral zone
Grant 52.8%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Grant
Evans
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (308)
54.5% (483)
+2.0%
Power Play
65.3% (49)
58.3% (12)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (136)
43.9% (155)
+4.6%
On power play, Grant has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Grant is 58.9% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Grant shoots left. Evans is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Home / Away
Grant
Evans
Home
60.3% (257)
49.4% (336)
Away
49.6% (236)
54.8% (314)
By Period
Grant
Evans
P1
54.7%
55.8%
P2
54.0%
51.7%
P3
57.1%
48.2%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
55.2%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.0%