Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.2% vs 52.2%). Grant wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 52.2% vs Evans 52.2% (+0.0%)
Offensive zone
Grant 54.9%
Defensive zone
Grant 51.8%
Neutral zone
Grant 52.9%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Grant
Evans
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (2,864)
53.8% (3,695)
-0.1%
Power Play
61.7% (175)
60.0% (70)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (922)
47.1% (1,222)
-1.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Grant is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,349).
Grant shoots left. Evans is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,695).
Home / Away
Grant
Evans
Home
54.3% (1,956)
53.4% (2,593)
Away
50.2% (2,005)
51.0% (2,394)
By Period
Grant
Evans
P1
51.1%
54.0%
P2
51.5%
50.9%
P3
54.3%
52.0%
OT
35.7%
46.5%
Final 5 min
54.0%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%