Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 48.8% vs Spezza 52.4% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 89.2%
Defensive zone
Grant 61.8%
Neutral zone
Spezza 59.5%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 59.5%
40.5%
59.5%
Grant
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Grant
Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
2
0
Grant
Spezza
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (222)
53.7% (451)
-4.6%
Power Play
76.5% (17)
54.3% (92)
+22.2%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (181)
38.2% (34)
+7.1%
On power play, Grant has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Grant is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (145).
Grant shoots left. Spezza is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
Grant
Spezza
Home
49.8% (223)
55.0% (282)
Away
47.2% (197)
50.8% (295)
By Period
Grant
Spezza
P1
43.9%
53.1%
P2
49.7%
53.2%
P3
51.4%
52.3%
Final 5 min
51.2%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
48.6%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2021 | 3 | 17:08 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 2 | 02:42 | Neutral | Derek Grant |