Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 15 meetings). Grant wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 52.2% vs Carter 53.2% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 17-15 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 65.1%
Defensive zone
Grant 80.6%
Neutral zone
Grant 58.8%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Grant
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
17
(32 meetings)
15
17
Grant
Carter
Last 10: Grant 5-5 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
3
12
Grant
Carter
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
8
2
Grant
Carter
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
4
3
Grant
Carter
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (2,864)
53.3% (8,728)
+0.4%
Power Play
61.7% (175)
57.3% (1,554)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (922)
46.3% (1,087)
-0.3%
On power play, Grant has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Grant is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,349).
Grant shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Home / Away
Grant
Carter
Home
54.3% (1,956)
54.7% (5,752)
Away
50.2% (2,005)
51.6% (5,632)
By Period
Grant
Carter
P1
51.1%
53.6%
P2
51.5%
52.8%
P3
54.3%
53.1%
OT
35.7%
56.5%
Final 5 min
54.0%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2023 | 3 | 07:21 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 1 | 17:11 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 1 | 13:49 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 1 | 11:10 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 3 | 15:08 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 3 | 12:36 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 3 | 12:29 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 3 | 08:02 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 2 | 09:24 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 3 | 19:21 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 3 | 18:59 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 1 | 17:06 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Dec 2, 2019 | 3 | 19:00 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 2, 2019 | 3 | 18:41 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 5, 2019 | 3 | 17:51 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 5, 2019 | 2 | 13:25 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Apr 5, 2019 | 1 | 13:41 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Apr 5, 2019 | 1 | 13:38 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 3 | 16:07 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 2 | 13:48 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |