Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 48.8% vs Carter 56.4% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 50.3%
Defensive zone
Grant 67.1%
Neutral zone
Grant 64.5%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Grant
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Grant
Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
2
Grant
Carter
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
1
0
Grant
Carter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (222)
57.9% (885)
-8.8%
Power Play
76.5% (17)
61.7% (133)
+14.8%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (181)
45.4% (119)
-0.1%
On power play, Grant has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Grant is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (145).
Grant shoots left. Carter is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Home / Away
Grant
Carter
Home
49.8% (223)
58.2% (543)
Away
47.2% (197)
55.9% (594)
By Period
Grant
Carter
P1
43.9%
57.5%
P2
49.7%
57.1%
P3
51.4%
55.8%
OT
50.0%
68.2%
Final 5 min
51.2%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
48.6%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2022 | 1 | 17:11 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 1 | 13:49 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 1 | 11:10 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |