Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Grant wins 58.9% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 54.3% vs Carter 58.5% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Grant 54.8%
Defensive zone
Grant 55.9%
Neutral zone
Grant 66.5%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Grant
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Grant
Carter
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Grant
Carter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (308)
59.7% (727)
-3.2%
Power Play
65.3% (49)
68.1% (72)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (136)
53.2% (139)
-4.7%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Grant is 58.9% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Grant shoots left. Carter is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (640).
Home / Away
Grant
Carter
Home
60.3% (257)
58.7% (455)
Away
49.6% (236)
60.0% (483)
By Period
Grant
Carter
P1
54.7%
61.3%
P2
54.0%
57.1%
P3
57.1%
59.8%
OT
0.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
51.9%
60.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
55.2%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2023 | 3 | 07:21 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |