Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Grant wins 57.1% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 52.6% vs Carter 48.8% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 69.9%
Defensive zone
Carter 50.5%
Neutral zone
Carter 54.9%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 62.4%
37.6%
62.4%
Grant
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Grant
Carter
Last 6: Grant 2-4 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
3
Grant
Carter
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
2
1
Grant
Carter
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (99)
48.5% (977)
+8.1%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
57.8% (128)
-57.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
40.7% (123)
+9.3%
On power play, Carter has a +57.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Grant is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (35).
Grant shoots left. Carter is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (836).
Home / Away
Grant
Carter
Home
59.5% (37)
50.8% (597)
Away
52.7% (74)
46.8% (631)
By Period
Grant
Carter
P1
56.7%
48.8%
P2
54.1%
48.0%
P3
54.5%
49.4%
Final 5 min
48.0%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
55.0%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2016 | 3 | 15:59 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 3 | 05:15 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 2 | 00:52 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 2 | 00:46 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 1 | 17:21 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 1 | 14:19 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |