Scouting Report
Justin Dowling holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Grant wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Dowling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 48.8% vs Dowling 50.7% (-3.9%)
Offensive zone
Dowling 74.2%
Defensive zone
Grant 76.3%
Neutral zone
Grant 53.5%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Grant
Dowling
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Dowling
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (222)
53.3% (30)
-4.2%
Power Play
76.5% (17)
50.0% (10)
+26.5%
On power play, Grant has a +26.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowling shoots left. Grant is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (275).
Grant shoots left. Dowling is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (22).
Home / Away
Grant
Dowling
Home
49.8% (223)
41.7% (12)
Away
47.2% (197)
57.1% (28)
By Period
Grant
Dowling
P1
43.9%
42.9%
P2
49.7%
60.0%
P3
51.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.2%
72.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
48.6%
Dowling
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.5%