Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Grant on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 51.9% vs Eller 47.4% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Grant 51.5%
Defensive zone
Grant 74.7%
Neutral zone
Grant 70.4%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 64.1%
64.1%
35.9%
Grant
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Grant
Eller
Last 6: Grant 4-2 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Grant
Eller
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
3
1
Grant
Eller
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (308)
48.9% (701)
+4.3%
Power Play
61.5% (13)
62.5% (8)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (63)
39.1% (174)
+6.9%
On penalty kill, Grant has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Grant is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (251).
Grant shoots left. Eller is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (544).
Home / Away
Grant
Eller
Home
50.9% (161)
47.5% (421)
Away
53.4% (223)
46.8% (462)
By Period
Grant
Eller
P1
53.4%
47.8%
P2
47.9%
47.3%
P3
56.0%
46.1%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
54.7%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.3%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2016 | 2 | 14:40 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 3 | 09:58 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 3 | 04:06 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 2 | 13:25 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 2 | 01:59 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 2 | 01:54 | Neutral | Derek Grant |