Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Grant wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 54.3% vs Eller 53.3% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 64.0%
Defensive zone
Grant 52.3%
Neutral zone
Grant 51.0%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Grant
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Grant
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Grant
1
0
Grant
Eller
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Grant
Eller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Grant
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (308)
53.8% (865)
+2.7%
Power Play
65.3% (49)
57.1% (21)
+8.2%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (136)
52.6% (137)
-4.1%
On power play, Grant has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Grant is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (313).
Grant shoots left. Eller is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (682).
Home / Away
Grant
Eller
Home
60.3% (257)
56.4% (486)
Away
49.6% (236)
51.2% (537)
By Period
Grant
Eller
P1
54.7%
55.1%
P2
54.0%
55.3%
P3
57.1%
51.7%
OT
0.0%
27.3%
Final 5 min
51.9%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
55.2%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2023 | 1 | 14:00 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 2 | 19:11 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 15:34 | Neutral | Lars Eller |