Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Grant on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 52.2% vs Eller 50.5% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Grant leads 13-11 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Eller 58.6%
Defensive zone
Grant 61.2%
Neutral zone
Grant 55.4%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Grant
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
11
(24 meetings)
13
11
Grant
Eller
Last 10: Grant 4-6 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
3
4
Grant
Eller
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
3
1
Grant
Eller
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
7
6
Grant
Eller
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (2,864)
51.1% (10,296)
+2.6%
Power Play
61.7% (175)
52.8% (621)
+8.9%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (922)
46.7% (1,751)
-0.7%
On power play, Grant has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Grant is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,612).
Grant shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,123).
Home / Away
Grant
Eller
Home
54.3% (1,956)
51.4% (6,118)
Away
50.2% (2,005)
49.7% (6,578)
By Period
Grant
Eller
P1
51.1%
51.2%
P2
51.5%
50.1%
P3
54.3%
50.2%
OT
35.7%
56.7%
Final 5 min
54.0%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2023 | 1 | 14:00 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 2 | 19:11 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 15:34 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 6, 2021 | 3 | 16:19 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 4, 2020 | 3 | 19:29 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 4, 2020 | 3 | 01:27 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 4, 2020 | 2 | 11:15 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 4, 2020 | 2 | 02:43 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 4, 2020 | 1 | 13:58 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 6, 2019 | 2 | 08:15 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Nov 18, 2019 | 3 | 18:49 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Nov 18, 2019 | 1 | 07:54 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 18, 2019 | 1 | 00:14 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Nov 18, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 17, 2019 | 3 | 13:06 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 3 | 13:45 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 1 | 06:41 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Dec 5, 2016 | 2 | 14:40 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 3 | 09:58 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 3 | 04:06 | Offensive | Lars Eller |