Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Grant wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 48.8% vs Draisaitl 53.2% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 69.6%
Defensive zone
Grant 73.6%
Neutral zone
Grant 60.6%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Grant
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Grant
Draisaitl
Last 7: Grant 3-4 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
3
Grant
Draisaitl
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
2
0
Grant
Draisaitl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Grant
Draisaitl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (222)
52.6% (1,124)
-3.5%
Power Play
76.5% (17)
58.4% (344)
+18.1%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (181)
49.2% (193)
-3.9%
On power play, Grant has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Grant is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (275).
Grant shoots left. Draisaitl is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,042).
Home / Away
Grant
Draisaitl
Home
49.8% (223)
55.5% (816)
Away
47.2% (197)
51.4% (845)
By Period
Grant
Draisaitl
P1
43.9%
51.1%
P2
49.7%
51.6%
P3
51.4%
56.9%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
51.2%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
48.6%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2022 | 2 | 14:16 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 1 | 08:53 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 1 | 16:52 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 1 | 01:10 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 1 | 00:18 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 2 | 19:21 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Grant |