Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.2% vs 54.9%). Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Grant wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 54.3% vs Draisaitl 54.6% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 77.8%
Defensive zone
Grant 80.2%
Neutral zone
Grant 54.2%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Grant
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Grant
Draisaitl
Last 5: Grant 2-3 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
2
Grant
Draisaitl
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Grant
Draisaitl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (308)
52.4% (974)
+4.1%
Power Play
65.3% (49)
59.5% (373)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (136)
61.0% (123)
-12.5%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Grant is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (313).
Grant shoots left. Draisaitl is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (950).
Home / Away
Grant
Draisaitl
Home
60.3% (257)
54.5% (778)
Away
49.6% (236)
55.3% (692)
By Period
Grant
Draisaitl
P1
54.7%
54.6%
P2
54.0%
56.1%
P3
57.1%
53.3%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.9%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
55.2%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2023 | 2 | 00:27 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 5, 2023 | 1 | 13:27 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 14:10 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 09:45 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 14:05 | Defensive | Derek Grant |