Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Grant wins 54.1% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 52.2% vs Barzal 42.8% (+11.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 75.8%
Defensive zone
Grant 66.2%
Neutral zone
Barzal 53.1%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Grant
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Grant
Barzal
Last 5: Grant 2-3 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
0
2
Grant
Barzal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
2
0
Grant
Barzal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barzal
0
1
Grant
Barzal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (397)
41.9% (516)
+12.8%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
40.0% (60)
+22.5%
Penalty Kill
44.5% (110)
25.0% (4)
+19.5%
On power play, Grant has a +22.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Grant is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (157).
Grant shoots left. Barzal is 38.1% vs left-shot opponents (407).
Home / Away
Grant
Barzal
Home
53.6% (222)
46.9% (303)
Away
51.9% (293)
35.7% (277)
By Period
Grant
Barzal
P1
48.5%
39.9%
P2
54.3%
45.1%
P3
55.0%
39.9%
Final 5 min
54.9%
38.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.6%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
41.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2019 | 3 | 19:11 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 20, 2019 | 2 | 12:09 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 2 | 03:26 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 3 | 12:51 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 2 | 08:15 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |