Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +19.6% FO% edge overall. Grant wins 58.9% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 54.3% vs Barzal 39.3% (+19.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 68.3%
Defensive zone
Grant 89.6%
Neutral zone
Grant 75.8%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 75.8%
75.8%
24.2%
Grant
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Grant
Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
1
0
Grant
Barzal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (308)
35.0% (283)
+21.5%
Power Play
65.3% (49)
55.6% (9)
+9.7%
On even strength, Grant has a +21.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Grant is 58.9% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Grant shoots left. Barzal is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Home / Away
Grant
Barzal
Home
60.3% (257)
37.0% (138)
Away
49.6% (236)
34.4% (154)
By Period
Grant
Barzal
P1
54.7%
29.5%
P2
54.0%
44.5%
P3
57.1%
31.8%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
39.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
55.2%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
35.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 06:56 | Neutral | Derek Grant |