Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 48.8% vs Barzal 46.9% (+2.3%)
Offensive zone
Barzal 80.0%
Defensive zone
Grant 71.2%
Neutral zone
Grant 54.3%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Grant
Barzal
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (222)
46.6% (483)
+2.5%
Power Play
76.5% (17)
40.9% (22)
+35.6%
On power play, Grant has a +35.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Grant is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (145).
Grant shoots left. Barzal is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (385).
Home / Away
Grant
Barzal
Home
49.8% (223)
49.6% (242)
Away
47.2% (197)
43.3% (263)
By Period
Grant
Barzal
P1
43.9%
42.4%
P2
49.7%
49.5%
P3
51.4%
47.7%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.2%
40.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
48.6%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
46.3%