Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 48.8% vs McCarron 53.4% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCarron 66.5%
Defensive zone
McCarron 55.6%
Neutral zone
McCarron 57.6%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 60.4%
39.6%
60.4%
Grant
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Grant
McCarron
Last 5: Grant 3-2 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Grant
2
0
Grant
McCarron
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
2
Grant
McCarron
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
1
0
Grant
McCarron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (222)
57.5% (308)
-8.4%
Power Play
76.5% (17)
50.0% (2)
+26.5%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (181)
32.6% (43)
+12.7%
On power play, Grant has a +26.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Grant is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (145).
Grant shoots left. McCarron is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (223).
Home / Away
Grant
McCarron
Home
49.8% (223)
48.3% (147)
Away
47.2% (197)
58.7% (206)
By Period
Grant
McCarron
P1
43.9%
53.4%
P2
49.7%
59.5%
P3
51.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.2%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
48.6%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2022 | 3 | 19:17 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 21, 2022 | 3 | 19:02 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 21, 2022 | 3 | 18:50 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 05:28 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 2 | 13:35 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |