Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Grant wins 58.9% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 54.3% vs McCarron 54.9% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCarron 58.1%
Defensive zone
Grant 72.1%
Neutral zone
Grant 65.9%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 57.9%
57.9%
42.1%
Grant
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Grant
McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
1
Grant
McCarron
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
2
Grant
McCarron
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (308)
62.8% (86)
-6.3%
Power Play
65.3% (49)
50.0% (2)
+15.3%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (136)
44.4% (18)
+4.1%
On power play, Grant has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Grant is 58.9% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Grant shoots left. McCarron is 58.9% vs left-shot opponents (73).
Home / Away
Grant
McCarron
Home
60.3% (257)
59.5% (42)
Away
49.6% (236)
59.4% (64)
By Period
Grant
McCarron
P1
54.7%
71.0%
P2
54.0%
48.7%
P3
57.1%
61.1%
Final 5 min
51.9%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
55.2%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2023 | 1 | 17:53 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 1 | 17:40 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 1 | 10:36 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |