Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Grant on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Grant wins 58.9% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 54.3% vs Geekie 49.3% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 79.9%
Defensive zone
Geekie 50.2%
Neutral zone
Geekie 57.6%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Grant
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Grant
Geekie
Last 5: Grant 2-3 Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
0
2
Grant
Geekie
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
2
1
Grant
Geekie
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (308)
49.9% (505)
+6.6%
Power Play
65.3% (49)
0.0% (6)
+65.3%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (136)
48.4% (93)
+0.1%
On power play, Grant has a +65.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Grant is 58.9% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Grant shoots left. Geekie is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (437).
Home / Away
Grant
Geekie
Home
60.3% (257)
50.0% (314)
Away
49.6% (236)
48.3% (290)
By Period
Grant
Geekie
P1
54.7%
51.3%
P2
54.0%
46.9%
P3
57.1%
49.5%
Final 5 min
51.9%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
55.2%
Geekie
42.0%▼
44.5%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2023 | 3 | 18:02 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 3 | 17:57 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 17:16 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 12:11 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 02:16 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |