Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Geekie on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Grant wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 52.2% vs Geekie 48.5% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 78.4%
Defensive zone
Grant 78.7%
Neutral zone
Grant 50.3%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 56.6%
56.6%
43.4%
Grant
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Grant
Geekie
Last 9: Grant 4-5 Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
0
1
Grant
Geekie
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
1
2
Grant
Geekie
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
3
2
Grant
Geekie
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (2,864)
48.8% (2,307)
+4.9%
Power Play
61.7% (175)
45.7% (188)
+16.0%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (922)
45.7% (129)
+0.3%
On power play, Grant has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Grant is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,349).
Grant shoots left. Geekie is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,923).
Home / Away
Grant
Geekie
Home
54.3% (1,956)
50.0% (1,281)
Away
50.2% (2,005)
46.8% (1,343)
By Period
Grant
Geekie
P1
51.1%
48.6%
P2
51.5%
48.8%
P3
54.3%
47.7%
OT
35.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.0%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2023 | 3 | 18:02 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 3 | 17:57 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 17:16 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 12:11 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 02:16 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Feb 11, 2022 | 2 | 15:51 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 3 | 03:57 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 13:06 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 06:36 | Neutral | Derek Grant |