Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Grant on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Grant wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 52.7% vs Thompson 55.6% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 68.2%
Defensive zone
Thompson 87.5%
Neutral zone
Thompson 79.3%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 76.5%
23.5%
76.5%
Grant
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Grant
Thompson
Last 6: Grant 5-1 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Grant
2
1
Grant
Thompson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
2
0
Grant
Thompson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
1
0
Grant
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (511)
57.7% (482)
-4.3%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
100.0% (2)
-44.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (68)
51.9% (154)
-1.9%
On power play, Thompson has a +44.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Grant is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (372).
Grant shoots left. Thompson is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (401).
Home / Away
Grant
Thompson
Home
56.1% (344)
59.0% (327)
Away
49.0% (253)
53.7% (311)
By Period
Grant
Thompson
P1
49.4%
54.2%
P2
56.1%
61.3%
P3
54.0%
53.9%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.2%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
53.1%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2018 | 2 | 03:12 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 30, 2018 | 2 | 03:06 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 6, 2017 | 3 | 13:38 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Dec 6, 2017 | 3 | 09:44 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Dec 6, 2017 | 2 | 02:53 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Dec 6, 2017 | 1 | 02:39 | Offensive | Derek Grant |