Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.2% vs 52.9%). Look for Grant on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 52.2% vs Thompson 52.9% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Grant leads 14-5 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Thompson 73.1%
Defensive zone
Thompson 64.1%
Neutral zone
Thompson 69.4%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 69.5%
30.5%
69.5%
Grant
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
5
(19 meetings)
14
5
Grant
Thompson
Last 10: Grant 8-2 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Grant
7
2
Grant
Thompson
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
5
1
Grant
Thompson
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Grant
Thompson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (2,864)
54.1% (5,812)
-0.4%
Power Play
61.7% (175)
54.8% (135)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (922)
47.9% (1,381)
-1.9%
On power play, Grant has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Grant is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,612).
Grant shoots left. Thompson is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (4,683).
Home / Away
Grant
Thompson
Home
54.3% (1,956)
54.8% (3,626)
Away
50.2% (2,005)
51.1% (3,717)
By Period
Grant
Thompson
P1
51.1%
53.2%
P2
51.5%
52.9%
P3
54.3%
52.8%
OT
35.7%
47.9%
Final 5 min
54.0%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 11:31 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 2 | 02:32 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 2 | 02:38 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 2 | 02:32 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 1 | 02:52 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 2 | 15:56 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 1 | 12:05 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Mar 30, 2018 | 2 | 03:12 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 30, 2018 | 2 | 03:06 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 6, 2017 | 3 | 13:38 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Dec 6, 2017 | 3 | 09:44 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Dec 6, 2017 | 2 | 02:53 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Dec 6, 2017 | 1 | 02:39 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 3 | 19:22 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 3 | 19:04 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 3 | 14:43 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 3 | 14:35 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 2 | 08:12 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 1 | 03:32 | Offensive | Derek Grant |