Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Grant wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 48.8% vs Thompson 54.3% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 76.6%
Defensive zone
Thompson 75.1%
Neutral zone
Thompson 76.2%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 76.6%
23.4%
76.6%
Grant
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Grant
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Grant
2
0
Grant
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (222)
55.5% (236)
-6.4%
Power Play
76.5% (17)
60.0% (5)
+16.5%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (181)
56.5% (46)
-11.2%
On power play, Grant has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Grant is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (275).
Grant shoots left. Thompson is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (199).
Home / Away
Grant
Thompson
Home
49.8% (223)
53.1% (128)
Away
47.2% (197)
57.9% (159)
By Period
Grant
Thompson
P1
43.9%
59.0%
P2
49.7%
55.4%
P3
51.4%
52.6%
Final 5 min
51.2%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
48.6%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 11:31 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 2 | 02:32 | Offensive | Derek Grant |