Derek Grant vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Grant on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 16 meetings). Grant wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 52.2% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Grant leads 34-20 in 54 meetings
Offensive zone
Grant 59.1%
Defensive zone
Grant 95.7%
Neutral zone
Grant 90.8%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 82.9%
82.9%
17.1%
Grant
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
34
-
20
(54 meetings)
34
20
Grant
MacKinnon
Last 10: Grant 8-2 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
7
9
Grant
MacKinnon
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
12
4
Grant
MacKinnon
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
15
7
Grant
MacKinnon
22 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (2,864)
46.1% (11,218)
+7.6%
Power Play
61.7% (175)
53.3% (1,412)
+8.4%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (922)
42.8% (502)
+3.2%
On power play, Grant has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Grant is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,349).
Grant shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (9,490).
Home / Away
Grant
MacKinnon
Home
54.3% (1,956)
49.7% (6,444)
Away
50.2% (2,005)
44.0% (6,689)
By Period
Grant
MacKinnon
P1
51.1%
47.4%
P2
51.5%
46.6%
P3
54.3%
46.1%
OT
35.7%
48.4%
Final 5 min
54.0%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2023 | 3 | 07:25 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Apr 9, 2023 | 2 | 06:59 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 2 | 14:08 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 2 | 10:40 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 2 | 06:00 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 1 | 19:21 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 1 | 14:35 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 1 | 11:32 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 1 | 02:57 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Jan 19, 2022 | 3 | 17:14 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 19, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Jan 19, 2022 | 2 | 13:17 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 3 | 16:37 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 3 | 14:15 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 2 | 09:33 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 2 | 03:22 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |