Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 52.7% vs Dowd 50.8% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Grant 71.5%
Defensive zone
Dowd 59.1%
Neutral zone
Grant 56.9%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 58.8%
58.8%
41.2%
Grant
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Grant
Dowd
Last 7: Grant 4-3 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Grant
2
0
Grant
Dowd
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Grant
Dowd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Grant
Dowd
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (511)
51.6% (343)
+1.8%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
50.0% (2)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (68)
47.1% (51)
+2.9%
On power play, Grant has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Grant is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (225).
Grant shoots left. Dowd is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (267).
Home / Away
Grant
Dowd
Home
56.1% (344)
43.0% (172)
Away
49.0% (253)
57.1% (224)
By Period
Grant
Dowd
P1
49.4%
47.4%
P2
56.1%
60.6%
P3
54.0%
44.7%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.2%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
53.1%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2018 | 3 | 19:44 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Mar 27, 2018 | 1 | 12:27 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 14, 2018 | 3 | 19:17 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 14, 2018 | 3 | 05:52 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 14, 2018 | 2 | 13:44 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Mar 14, 2018 | 2 | 04:10 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 14, 2018 | 1 | 02:44 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |