Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Grant wins 58.9% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 54.3% vs Dowd 50.7% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Grant 64.4%
Defensive zone
Dowd 70.8%
Neutral zone
Grant 54.7%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Grant
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Grant
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
1
0
Grant
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (308)
55.2% (625)
+1.3%
Power Play
65.3% (49)
57.1% (7)
+8.2%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (136)
38.2% (220)
+10.3%
On penalty kill, Grant has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Grant is 58.9% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Grant shoots left. Dowd is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Grant
Dowd
Home
60.3% (257)
53.7% (445)
Away
49.6% (236)
47.7% (407)
By Period
Grant
Dowd
P1
54.7%
48.8%
P2
54.0%
49.3%
P3
57.1%
54.0%
OT
0.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
51.9%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
55.2%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Grant |