Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Grant on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Grant wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 52.2% vs Dowd 50.7% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Grant leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Grant 53.6%
Defensive zone
Grant 83.5%
Neutral zone
Grant 53.9%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 60.1%
60.1%
39.9%
Grant
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
Grant
Dowd
Last 10: Grant 7-3 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Grant
4
1
Grant
Dowd
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
2
Grant
Dowd
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
4
2
Grant
Dowd
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (2,864)
52.4% (6,009)
+1.3%
Power Play
61.7% (175)
56.1% (164)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (922)
44.1% (1,635)
+1.9%
On power play, Grant has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Grant is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,349).
Grant shoots left. Dowd is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,134).
Home / Away
Grant
Dowd
Home
54.3% (1,956)
51.9% (3,897)
Away
50.2% (2,005)
49.5% (3,912)
By Period
Grant
Dowd
P1
51.1%
51.7%
P2
51.5%
50.4%
P3
54.3%
50.3%
OT
35.7%
45.9%
Final 5 min
54.0%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Mar 4, 2020 | 1 | 07:23 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 6, 2019 | 2 | 17:40 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Dec 6, 2019 | 2 | 12:42 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Dec 6, 2019 | 1 | 18:08 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Dec 6, 2019 | 1 | 09:13 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 6, 2019 | 1 | 09:00 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Mar 27, 2018 | 3 | 19:44 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Mar 27, 2018 | 1 | 12:27 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 14, 2018 | 3 | 19:17 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 14, 2018 | 3 | 05:52 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 14, 2018 | 2 | 13:44 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Mar 14, 2018 | 2 | 04:10 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 14, 2018 | 1 | 02:44 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |