Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Grant on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Grant wins 55.6% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 51.4% vs Dowd 49.8% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dowd 52.6%
Defensive zone
Grant 68.5%
Neutral zone
Grant 52.8%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Grant
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Grant
Dowd
Last 6: Grant 4-2 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Grant
2
1
Grant
Dowd
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Grant
Dowd
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
1
0
Grant
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (480)
50.7% (379)
+1.0%
Power Play
63.0% (54)
64.3% (14)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (160)
46.5% (157)
+1.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Grant is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (266).
Grant shoots left. Dowd is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (381).
Home / Away
Grant
Dowd
Home
54.8% (334)
53.7% (244)
Away
48.6% (360)
46.6% (307)
By Period
Grant
Dowd
P1
54.7%
53.6%
P2
46.1%
44.1%
P3
54.2%
51.9%
Final 5 min
51.9%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
51.6%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2020 | 1 | 07:23 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 6, 2019 | 2 | 17:40 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Dec 6, 2019 | 2 | 12:42 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Dec 6, 2019 | 1 | 18:08 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Dec 6, 2019 | 1 | 09:13 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 6, 2019 | 1 | 09:00 | Neutral | Derek Grant |