Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Grant wins 56.3% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 50.9% vs Bjugstad 47.3% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Bjugstad leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 73.1%
Defensive zone
Grant 69.4%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 51.8%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Grant
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Grant
Bjugstad
Last 10: Grant 2-8 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Grant
3
2
Grant
Bjugstad
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
3
Grant
Bjugstad
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Grant
Bjugstad
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (415)
45.8% (238)
+8.7%
Power Play
42.9% (14)
50.0% (30)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (137)
50.0% (2)
-8.4%
On even strength, Grant has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Grant is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (142).
Grant shoots left. Bjugstad is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (203).
Home / Away
Grant
Bjugstad
Home
51.5% (266)
48.9% (133)
Away
50.7% (300)
43.8% (137)
By Period
Grant
Bjugstad
P1
48.3%
50.0%
P2
52.2%
40.6%
P3
52.8%
49.4%
Final 5 min
60.1%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
51.1%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2021 | 1 | 09:31 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| May 7, 2021 | 1 | 02:46 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 2 | 18:09 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 2 | 01:54 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 1 | 09:02 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 2 | 09:55 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 2 | 05:56 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 1 | 03:19 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 2 | 17:16 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 3 | 16:22 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 2 | 19:49 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 2 | 16:39 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 1 | 07:33 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 2 | 19:25 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 2 | 03:42 | Offensive | Derek Grant |