Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 10 meetings). Grant wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 52.2% vs Bjugstad 48.9% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Bjugstad leads 15-12 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 73.7%
Defensive zone
Grant 63.6%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 55.4%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Grant
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
15
(27 meetings)
12
15
Grant
Bjugstad
Last 10: Grant 4-6 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Grant
Bjugstad
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
4
6
Grant
Bjugstad
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
4
5
Grant
Bjugstad
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (2,864)
48.6% (6,634)
+5.1%
Power Play
61.7% (175)
55.2% (829)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (922)
44.3% (614)
+1.7%
On power play, Grant has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Grant is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,349).
Grant shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,747).
Home / Away
Grant
Bjugstad
Home
54.3% (1,956)
49.8% (4,020)
Away
50.2% (2,005)
48.1% (4,057)
By Period
Grant
Bjugstad
P1
51.1%
49.0%
P2
51.5%
49.1%
P3
54.3%
48.4%
OT
35.7%
61.3%
Final 5 min
54.0%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2023 | 3 | 09:43 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 5, 2023 | 3 | 02:04 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Apr 5, 2023 | 2 | 18:37 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 5, 2023 | 2 | 12:06 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Apr 5, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Apr 5, 2023 | 1 | 08:13 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 00:40 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 11:43 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| May 7, 2021 | 1 | 09:31 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| May 7, 2021 | 1 | 02:46 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 2 | 18:09 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 2 | 01:54 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 1 | 09:02 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 2 | 09:55 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 2 | 05:56 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 1 | 03:19 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 2 | 17:16 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 3 | 16:22 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 2 | 19:49 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 2 | 16:39 | Offensive | Derek Grant |