Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Grant wins 58.9% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 54.3% vs Bjugstad 48.0% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 58.9%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 56.9%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 55.0%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
Grant
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Grant
Bjugstad
Last 8: Grant 4-4 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Grant
Bjugstad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Grant
Bjugstad
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Grant
Bjugstad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (308)
49.4% (867)
+7.1%
Power Play
65.3% (49)
56.0% (25)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (136)
40.7% (216)
+7.8%
On power play, Grant has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Grant is 58.9% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Grant shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (796).
Home / Away
Grant
Bjugstad
Home
60.3% (257)
46.5% (480)
Away
49.6% (236)
48.9% (628)
By Period
Grant
Bjugstad
P1
54.7%
48.7%
P2
54.0%
45.6%
P3
57.1%
49.1%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
55.2%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2023 | 3 | 09:43 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 5, 2023 | 3 | 02:04 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Apr 5, 2023 | 2 | 18:37 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 5, 2023 | 2 | 12:06 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Apr 5, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Apr 5, 2023 | 1 | 08:13 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 00:40 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 11:43 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |