Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Grant wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 52.7% vs Bonino 53.9% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Grant 70.8%
Defensive zone
Grant 50.9%
Neutral zone
Grant 54.9%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Grant
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Grant
Bonino
Last 6: Grant 1-5 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
2
Grant
Bonino
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
3
Grant
Bonino
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (511)
56.4% (771)
-3.0%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
60.0% (30)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (68)
43.8% (169)
+6.2%
On penalty kill, Grant has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Grant is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (372).
Grant shoots left. Bonino is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (581).
Home / Away
Grant
Bonino
Home
56.1% (344)
56.5% (531)
Away
49.0% (253)
51.7% (439)
By Period
Grant
Bonino
P1
49.4%
56.7%
P2
56.1%
48.1%
P3
54.0%
58.0%
OT
0.0%
52.6%
Final 5 min
49.2%
59.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
53.1%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2018 | 3 | 17:42 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 3 | 06:04 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 1 | 15:10 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 1 | 09:52 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 1 | 05:26 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 3 | 07:50 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |