Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on neutral-zone draws (56% H2H, 16 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 52.2% vs Bonino 50.0% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Bonino leads 23-21 in 44 meetings
Offensive zone
Bonino 63.9%
Defensive zone
Grant 57.6%
Neutral zone
Bonino 52.2%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Grant
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
23
(44 meetings)
21
23
Grant
Bonino
Last 10: Grant 6-4 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Grant
7
6
Grant
Bonino
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
7
8
Grant
Bonino
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
7
9
Grant
Bonino
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (2,864)
50.6% (8,315)
+3.1%
Power Play
61.7% (175)
54.1% (972)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (922)
44.6% (1,693)
+1.4%
On power play, Grant has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Grant is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,612).
Grant shoots left. Bonino is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,917).
Home / Away
Grant
Bonino
Home
54.3% (1,956)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
50.2% (2,005)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
Grant
Bonino
P1
51.1%
50.6%
P2
51.5%
48.5%
P3
54.3%
51.1%
OT
35.7%
45.7%
Final 5 min
54.0%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2022 | 3 | 19:21 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 3 | 07:49 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 11:42 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 2 | 06:45 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 1 | 14:31 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| May 7, 2021 | 3 | 17:04 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| May 7, 2021 | 2 | 16:51 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 3 | 19:37 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 15:08 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 1 | 16:02 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 1 | 02:20 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 2 | 11:57 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 2 | 04:16 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 2 | 04:08 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 1 | 10:52 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 2 | 17:47 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 2 | 03:32 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 1 | 14:25 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 1 | 04:25 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 3 | 19:13 | Defensive | Derek Grant |