Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Grant wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 48.8% vs Bonino 51.2% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 54.4%
Defensive zone
Grant 55.5%
Neutral zone
Grant 53.4%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Grant
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Grant
Bonino
Last 5: Grant 2-3 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Grant
Bonino
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
2
Grant
Bonino
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (222)
51.7% (777)
-2.6%
Power Play
76.5% (17)
60.0% (50)
+16.5%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (181)
43.9% (98)
+1.4%
On power play, Grant has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Grant is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (275).
Grant shoots left. Bonino is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (629).
Home / Away
Grant
Bonino
Home
49.8% (223)
48.2% (461)
Away
47.2% (197)
54.5% (464)
By Period
Grant
Bonino
P1
43.9%
54.1%
P2
49.7%
49.7%
P3
51.4%
50.7%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.2%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
48.6%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2022 | 3 | 19:21 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 3 | 07:49 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 11:42 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 2 | 06:45 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 1 | 14:31 | Defensive | Derek Grant |